Napoli vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
56%
21%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 3
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 2
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |