Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NAP
0 - 2
CAG
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NAP
3 - 1
PIS
71%
21%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
NAP
4 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
JUV
5 - 1
LIV
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 2
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
TOR
0 - 0
LIV
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
SAM
40%
29%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |