Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAP
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 1
NAP
43%
30%
27%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
NAP
3 - 0
PRO
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1964 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
PAD
1 - 1
NAP
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 1
LIV
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
VER
2 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
37%
31%
32%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |