Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
LIV
2 - 1
NAP
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 0
NAP
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
TOR
7 - 1
NAP
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
TOR
9 - 1
LIV
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
LIV
2 - 1
NAP
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
LIV
0 - 3
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |