Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 1
ROM
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
NAP
0 - 2
TOR
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1946 |
BAR
0 - 0
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
JUV
5 - 1
LIV
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |