Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 2
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 1
ROM
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |