Napoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1935 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
PAL
2 - 0
NAP
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1935 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |