Napoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 0
NAP
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ATL
0 - 0
NAP
38%
31%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
NAP
0 - 1
PIS
62%
24%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
COM
1 - 1
NAP
28%
33%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
NAP
1 - 0
AVE
59%
24%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 1
FIO
18%
30%
52%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
TOR
3 - 1
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 2
ACM
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
17%
30%
54%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEC
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |