Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ACM
5 - 2
NAP
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 1
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
27%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 2
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 2
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 3
JUV
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |