Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
USC
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
REG
1 - 2
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
LAZ
8 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BVB
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
PAR
2 - 0
LAZ
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |