Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 4
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAP
26%
30%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 1
NAP
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
LAZ
0 - 0
UDI
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASC
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
GEN
2 - 2
LAZ
45%
30%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |