Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAP
30%
33%
38%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BOL
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LAZ
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
INT
4 - 0
LAZ
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |