Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
PAL
2 - 2
NAP
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 2
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
JUV
2 - 2
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
INT
4 - 2
NAP
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
58%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |