Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
23%
20%
57%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 1
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 0
LIV
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 3
NAP
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
NAP
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 2
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 0
LAZ
36%
22%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |