Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 4
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAP
26%
30%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1990 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
LEC
2 - 3
JUV
16%
26%
58%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ACM
0 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |