Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
FIO
5 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 5
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIC
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
JUV
0 - 1
TOR
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
SAM
2 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |