Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
SAM
3 - 0
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NAP
3 - 3
BOL
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
8 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
JUV
1 - 0
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 2
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SAM
2 - 0
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |