Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
SAL
3 - 3
NAP
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
USA
2 - 1
NAP
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 1
VIC
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
TOR
1 - 1
JUV
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
JUV
0 - 1
TRI
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
INT
4 - 2
JUV
45%
23%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |