Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 2
FIO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |