Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 0
NAP
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 4
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAP
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
6 - 2
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
LAZ
4 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |