Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAP
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 1
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
JUV
4 - 0
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
44%
25%
30%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |