Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 1
TRI
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 2
GEN
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
JUV
1 - 2
INT
60%
20%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
JUV
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
45%
24%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |