Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
FIO
62%
20%
18%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAL
80%
13%
6%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAP
20%
25%
55%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASS
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 0
NAP
32%
26%
42%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
LAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 5
INT
14%
23%
64%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 1
VER
85%
11%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
12%
21%
67%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
LEC
85%
11%
4%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |