Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 1
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCB
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAP
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
INT
0 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
61%
22%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
INT
2 - 1
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
LUD
0 - 2
INT
35%
27%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LAZ
2 - 1
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
INT
0 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |