Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NAP
70%
16%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
TOR
5 - 3
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
NAP
0 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
VNZ
4 - 1
NAP
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 0
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 1
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 1
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |