Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 0
NAP
36%
21%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 2
PRO
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
USC
0 - 0
NAP
18%
19%
63%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
INT
8 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
INT
2 - 0
USA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 2
INT
30%
25%
44%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
INT
6 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |