Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-6
Napoli vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAP
36%
30%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
HIB
1 - 0
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
DUN
1 - 4
HIB
53%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
STI
4 - 1
HIB
16%
23%
62%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
HIB
5 - 0
AIR
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
STJ
2 - 3
HIB
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |