Napoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 0
NAP
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 1
VIC
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 0
VER
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2003 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAP
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 0
VNZ
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 2
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |