Napoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
FIO
4 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
USF
1 - 0
NAP
28%
28%
45%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
20%
28%
52%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 2
USF
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TOR
4 - 0
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
GEN
44%
30%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |