Napoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 1
REG
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
45%
29%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
NAP
0 - 2
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
BOL
2 - 1
GEN
77%
14%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEC
73%
19%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
37%
35%
28%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |