Napoli vs Fortis Trani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
NAP
2 - 0
FCC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 2
NAP
46%
29%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
NAP
0 - 1
PAD
57%
26%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
USA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |