Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 2
EMP
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 2
NAP
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 2
SPE
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 4
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 3
FIO
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |