Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
40%
33%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
UDI
4 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SAM
4 - 1
NAP
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
58%
27%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAT
0 - 0
NAP
31%
33%
36%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
FIO
1 - 0
AVE
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
GEN
2 - 2
FIO
38%
29%
34%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 2
FIO
29%
31%
40%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |