Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
NAP
3 - 2
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
NAP
7 - 1
TER
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
SAM
3 - 4
FIO
34%
33%
33%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FIO
4 - 1
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |