Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
27.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
NAP
2 - 1
ATL
63%
23%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
BOL
2 - 2
NAP
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VER
1 - 1
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
FCC
0 - 0
NAP
21%
30%
49%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 0
VAR
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
MAN
1 - 2
FIO
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |