Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
USF
1 - 1
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 1
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1967 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
LEC
0 - 3
FIO
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |