Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 1
BAN
58%
19%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 2
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 1
BAN
56%
20%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |