Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
PAD
2 - 2
NAP
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
NAP
4 - 0
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
ACM
0 - 3
NAP
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 0
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
TRI
2 - 2
NAP
31%
24%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
20%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |