Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
40%
21%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
INT
6 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1931 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
FIO
4 - 2
TOR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 1
FIO
17%
18%
65%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |