Napoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
NAP
2 - 0
ASC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
AVE
0 - 0
NAP
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 0
USC
80%
14%
7%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
UDI
2 - 1
NAP
41%
32%
28%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
FCC
3 - 1
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIS
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
CAT
0 - 4
FCC
32%
31%
37%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
INT
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |