Napoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
NAP
2 - 0
FHV
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
VER
1 - 2
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
NAP
3 - 0
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 1
VER
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SPA
2 - 1
FCC
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
FCC
3 - 3
ARZ
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |