Napoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
NAP
5 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ACM
4 - 1
NAP
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
VER
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCC
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FCC
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
PRO
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |