Napoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 1
VNZ
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
NAP
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
NAP
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAL
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 3
LIV
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASC
3 - 1
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |