Napoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 0
NAP
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 2
ACM
29%
23%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CAT
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 0
SAM
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |