Napoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
FAN
1 - 4
NAP
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 5
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
USC
1 - 3
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
60%
21%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAT
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAT
59%
20%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |