Napoli vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
NAP
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
NAP
2 - 1
PIS
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
71%
20%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
CAS
1 - 0
REG
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |