Napoli vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAP
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
USA
4 - 3
NAP
24%
20%
56%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
44%
23%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
9%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |