Napoli vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAP
5 - 1
EMP
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 4
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NAP
3 - 1
SAS
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAR
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |