Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BOL
4 - 1
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
NAP
1 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
USA
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 0
PAD
78%
14%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
PAD
2 - 1
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |