Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 4
FIO
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PAD
5 - 1
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
2 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
PAD
2 - 0
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
INT
0 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1955 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAD
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |